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思考的碎片--20160312圍棋的獎金大概率會減少 Nainital的碎片哥

來源: http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_6a54e96a0102wb6a.html

阿法狗和李世石的對局,阿法狗大概率獲勝。
作為投資者最關註的不應該是結果而應該是這個結果帶來的影響,畢竟投資者是無法決定誰獲勝類似投資者無法決定任何政策任何趨勢,投資者就是解釋這個趨勢這個結果這個政策帶來的影響而且是量化的解釋 用鈔票解釋。

我預測阿法狗如果獲勝圍棋的獎金會下降。
邏輯很簡單,以後任何比賽都要屏蔽電子設備,升段比賽也需要,因為電腦是作弊的。
這樣一定影響媒體關註度,沒有了關註度,自然獎金會減少

我特意找了下 國際象棋的獎金歷史。從這里大概可以看到扣除通脹因素。1990-2000年之間是國際象棋獎金歷史高峰。現在是下降趨勢很明顯。對比歷史 1996年是Deepblue和卡斯帕羅夫的比賽嘿嘿。貌似國際象棋的歷史支持我的觀點。

1886, Steinitz-Zukertort: £800


The prize fund was split evenly. Steinitz won the match +10 -5=5.

1891, Steinitz-Gunsberg: $3,000


Steinitz won the match +6 -4 =9 and took home a $2,000 winner’sshare.

1921, Capablanca-Lasker: $25,000


 

Capablanca won the match +4 -0 =10, but only received $12,000 inprize money. Lasker got the other $13,000.

1927, Alekhine-Capablanca: $10,00


Alekhine won the match +6 -3 =25, but Capablanca received a $2,000appearance fee.

1935, Euwe-Alekhine: $10,000


Euwe won the match +9 -8 =13 and the $10,000 stake.

1966, Petrosian-Spassky: $2,000


 

In this era of Soviet dominance, the world chess championship wasan internal affair. Petrosian received just a $2,000 bonus forwinning the match. 

1972, Fischer-Spassky: $250,000

Bobby Fischer brought unprecedented interest and money to the worldchess championship. In addition to the gigantic purse, Fischerdemanded — and received — 30 percent of the match’s televisionrights and gate.


Fischer, of course, won the match +7 -3 =11 and the winner's shareof $156,250.

1978, Karpov-Korchnoi: $560,000


 

Karpov took home $350,000 for winning the match +6 -5 =21.

1990, Kasparov-Karpov: $3 million


 

Kasparov won the monster $1.875 million winner’s share by going +4-3 =17 in the match. 

1995, Kasparov-Anand: $1.5 million


 

Kasparov took home a cool million for beating Anand +4 -1 =13 atthe top of the world. 

2000, Kasparov-Kramnik: $2 million


 

Kramnik shocked Kasparov and the world and won $1.33 million forhis +2 -0 =13 performance.

2006, Kramnik-Topalov: $1 million


 

The prize fund was arranged to be split evenly at $500,000 eachregardless of result, and appropriately enough, Kramnik won thematch on tiebreaks. 

2008, Anand-Kramnik: €1.5 million ($1.9million)


Anand claimed the title by going +3 -1 =7, but each player tookhome the same $950,000 share

2010, Anand-Topalov: €2 million ($2.8million)

 


 


Anand defended his title, going +3 -2 =7, and won the $1.68 millionchampion’s share.

2012, Anand-Gelfand: $2.55 million


Anand won the match on tiebreaks, receiving $1.53 million. He alsowas granted a $400,000 bonus from the Indian government.

2013, Carlsen-Anand: $2.5 million

 


 

Carlsen won the title and $1.5 million by going +3 -0 =7.

2014, Carlsen-Anand: €1 million ($1.25million)

 


 

The winner of the match will receive $750,000, and the loser willtake home $500,000.


 


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